Brian, Projections, Rankings

The Two Month Report Card


Sagres, Portugal...The End of the World.

Sagres, Portugal…The End of the World.

On a clear morning, you can go out to the California coast and peer off the cliffs at the extending horizon that both seems to go on forever and have a clear, definitive ending line. You can imagine you’re back in Sagres, Portugal in the 1400s, standing on a cliff that they call “The End of the World.” You can imagine you’re an explorer, making predictions on whether the Earth was round and the ocean extended forever, or flat and ended in a tragically steep waterfall.

When making any kind of prediction, there is always the risk of being wrong, in fact, you’re likely going to wrong more often than right. A prediction, like the future, is uncertain, it’s the unknown. So when I set out to make my preseason fantasy baseball projections, I know going into it failure isn’t just a possibility, it’s a certainty.

The following are some projections that I had right…and wrong, dead wrong. For each position, I chose one player who I was correct on and one player who I was incorrect on. You can view all of my projections in our Rankings ’13 section. Included with each player are their “On Pace Stats” (as of May 30th).

Catcher

Correct Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Wilin Rosario 62, 24, 65, 3, .260 64, 28, 83, 9, .268
Incorrect Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Miguel Montero 65, 17, 90, 1, .290 49, 9, 46, 0, .190

First Base

Correct Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Edwin Encarnacion 84, 24, 96, 10, .266 93, 42, 135, 6, .264
Incorrect Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Paul Goldschmidt 81, 27, 88, 15, .280 104, 37, 125, 12, .337

Second Base

Correct Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Jose Altuve 83, 5, 42, 28, .281 66, 6, 63, 24, .302
Incorrect Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Ben Zobrist 94, 20, 85, 16, .272 86, 9, 98, 9, .249

Shortstop

Correct Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Alcides Escobar 72, 4, 45, 30, .277 60, 10, 57, 32, .249
Incorrect Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Elvis Andrus 92, 5, 65, 31, .291 101, 0, 58, 40, .270

Third Base

Correct Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Evan Longoria 85, 27, 87, 4, .283 110, 28, 92, 0, .311
Incorrect Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Will Middlebrooks 65, 23, 70, 9, .280 54, 24, 63, 0, .201

Outfield

Correct Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Adam Jones 93, 30, 87, 17, .288 117, 30, 105, 24, .311
Incorrect Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Josh Hamilton 97, 36, 114, 7, .281 72, 24, 54, 3, .219

Starting Pitcher

Correct Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Homer Bailey 210, 15, 175, 3.41, 1.20 204, 9, 204, 3.84, 1.19
Incorrect Pick Brian’s Preseason Projections On Pace Stats
Cole Hamels 210, 16, 205, 3.15, 1.15 211, 3, 193, 4.43, 1.26
Standard

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