Brian, First Base, Projections, Rankings

Brian’s Top 14 First Basemen Rankings and Projections for ’13


Don't let his name fool you.

Don’t let his name fool you.

[Editor’s Note: Mark Teixeira is expected to be out 8-10 weeks, putting his return date around the middle of June. He has fallen out of the Top 14]

It’s easy to fall in love with the protectors of first base (also known as the league’s best kissers) because they’re the producers, big boppers. They’re usually the easiest to project and most consistently reliable. Even in an off year, Albert Pujols still put up numbers that any other player would’ve been proud of. Billy Butler, the bigger, better known cousin of Ryan “Quentin” Butler, turned in an ox of a season. Even seemingly part-time player, Allen Craig, reminded us of Red Bird of old, Jack Clark.

But that doesn’t mean the position doesn’t come with its question marks. Joey Votto spent most of 2012 nursing a sore knee (not to worry, Jay Bruce kissed it better). Adrian Gonzalez had a power outage, changing his nickname from “A-Gone” to “Dirty Gonzalez.” Marcus Teixeira, who can’t seem to justify his hefty contract, didn’t come to play in ’12.

But with the influx of young talent (Freddie Freeman, Paul Goldschmidt, Eric Hosmer, and Anthony Rizzo), everyone in a standard 10-team league should get to first base this season.

There are three tiers for this position, indicated by the underline [projections are based on three year averages and sabermetric analysis]:

1. Albert Pujols- 107 R, 38 HR, 110 RBI, 7 SB, .287 BA

2. Prince Fielder– 93, 35, 111, 1, .305

3. Joey Votto– 90, 24, 90, 7, .315

4. Adrian Gonzalez- 84, 26, 109, 1, .300

5. Billy Butler- 73, 26, 101, 2, .310

6. Edwin Encarnacion- 84, 24, 96, 10, .266

7. Paul Goldschmidt- 81, 27, 88, 15, .280

8. Mark Teixeira- 84, 29, 90, 1, .249

9. Freddie Freeman- 90, 25, 97, 2, .267

10. Eric Hosmer- 75, 21, 75, 18, .270

11. Allen Craig- 70, 24, 85, 3, .300

12. David Ortiz- 77, 25, 83, 0, .299

13. Paul Konerko- 70, 28, 80, 0, .294

14. Anthony Rizzo- 72, 21, 63, 5, .277

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